Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46.5%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 25 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2023 to 26 Sep 2023, the highest close was 58.5% on 24 Sep 2023 and the lowest 13% on 16 Sep 2023. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 32% on 25 Sep 2023. $181.11K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 27, 4:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 25 Aug 2023 – 26 Sep 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2023 | 32.5% |
| 26 Sep 2023 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If it is learned SBF has received Adderall between August 24 and September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is learned that SBF received Adderall within this market's timeframe after this market's timeframe has expired, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by SBF and/or his legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sbf-get-adderall-in-jail
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kjbihbnjlk | No | 58.24 |
| michaelm | No | 3.84 |
| Bold Lynx F293 | No | 0.12 |
| AlinKids | Yes | 0.07 |
