Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 4 Dec 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2% on 29 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 13% on 28 Nov 2025. $366.95 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 4 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 315.07 |
| tuna69 | Yes | 199.98 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the name of the contestant who is voted off of Survivor: Season 49 during the episode scheduled to release December 3, 2025, 8:00PM ET. If the relevant episode of Survivor is not aired by the date of this show's next scheduled release, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event that no one is voted off of Survivor: Season 49 or multiple people are voted off of Survivor: Season 49 in the relevant episode, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the relevant episode of Survivor.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-voted-off-survivor-season-49-on-december-3
| Lunar Voyager B7A0 | Yes | 5 |
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