Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 128 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 15 Oct 2025, the highest close was 99.5% on 15 Oct 2025 and the lowest 47% on 19 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 99.5% on 15 Oct 2025. $10.05K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 128 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 15 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 56.5% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 908.9 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 38 |
| Sleepingdragon | No | 18.63 |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 14 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
| Desconocido | No | 5.36 |
| MogelVogel | No | 5 |
| emskaplann | No | 1.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
