
Resolved No on 31 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 20 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2024 to 31 Dec 2024, the highest close was 49.5% on 20 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 29 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 4.6% on 21 Dec 2024. $4.56K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Dec 2024 – 31 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2024 | 49.5% |
| 31 Dec 2024 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.31K |
| Lunar Scout C3B6 | Yes | 16 |
| 7s7s | No | 0.09 |
| Asia137 | No | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a negrisk market group over which game will win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2024 Steam Awards.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/steam-awards-most-innovative-gameplay
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| Self-Assured-Benefit | No | 0.01 |
| Samae1 | No | 0.01 |