Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 134 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 28% on 18 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 28% on 18 Dec 2024. $16.57K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 5:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 134 points, 19 Nov 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.2% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Sarah Palin to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-administration
| phroge | Yes | 5 |
| Axios | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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