Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 4 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 25 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 15% on 25 Apr 2025 and the low 0.1% on 4 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.1% on 4 May 2025. $86K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 25 Apr 2025 – 4 May 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2025 | 15.0% |
| 4 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 110.79K |
| Crimson Ledger A4E2 | Yes | 10.86K |
| mrbentt | Yes | 2.01K |
| FreddySupples | Yes | 950 |
| Lighthearted-Opening | Yes | 833.33 |
| burro | Yes | 422.63 |
| nolol | Yes | 418.42 |
| Bright Raven FDD7 | Yes | 416.67 |
| jujuuj | Yes | 333.33 |
| ThePope | Yes | 181.82 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on which horse will win the 2025 Kentucky Derby Winner.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2025-kentucky-derby-winner
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