Analytics
Resolved No on 13 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 7 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 4% on 7 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 10 May 2026. $5.87M traded over the market's life.
245 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 13, 9:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 143 points · 7 Dec 2025 – 13 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | 4.0% |
| 13 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.96M |
| cyfra | Yes | 70K |
| Admired-Venture | Yes | 40K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-winner-2026
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