Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$69.0K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 92% on 7 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2025 to 20 Aug 2025, the highest close was 94.5% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 20 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 69 points down, to 20% on 18 Aug 2025. $69.03K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 4:45 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 7 Aug 2025 – 20 Aug 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Aug 2025	92.0%
20 Aug 2025	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	2.04K
BabyYoda12	Yes	849.99
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	804
ebrs	Yes	200

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Bolivia's presidential runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).