Will Samson Dauda win Mr. Olympia 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$513

Resolved

Settled

Sep 27, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 27 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 27 Sep 2026, the highest close was 77% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 77% on 25 Sep 2026. $512.87 traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 9:57 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 27 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Sep 2026	44.0%
27 Sep 2026	40.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	281.6
AbuJahn	Yes	155.57
759vv7779vg98167	Yes	52.72
Kobikoba	Yes	39.68

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.