Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 26% on 16 Dec 2022. Before it settled, across the 97 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2022 to 30 Mar 2023 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92% on 29 Dec 2022 and the lowest 3% on 24 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 76% on 23 Dec 2022. $48.15K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 16 Dec 2022 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2022 | 26.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Coral Meteor 9D98 | Yes | 1.09M |
| TruthTeller-876 | Yes | 1.27K |
| Pepee | Yes | 1.26K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Trabucco, former co-CEO of Alameda Research, is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between December 13, 2022 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that reporting of sealed charges before the resolution date will suffice to resolve the market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States (from sources such as https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel, https://www.justice.gov/news), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sam-trabucco-be-federally-charged-by-march-31
| No |
| 200 |
| Defensive-Workshop | Yes | 144.66 |
| Kittenmittons | Yes | 93.75 |
| Gorgeous-Pork | No | 7.31 |
| Wasteful-Leadership | Yes | 2.03 |
| Flawless-Vascular | No | 0.91 |
| Neon Tide 9AAA | Yes | 0.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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