Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Name: Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Feb 9, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2M

Resolved

Settled

Feb 9, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	522.71K	0.0%	$0
AnonymousUsername	Yes	53.15K	38.9%	$20.7K
Coordinated-Agreement	Yes	42.43K	44.0%	$18.67K
PapiBowser	Yes	38.51K	52.4%	$20.18K
test124566	Yes	35.1K	43.0%	$15.09K
bobtheblob	Yes	5.1K	15.5%	$789.31	Feb 9, 3:22 AM UTC
exid	Yes	4.19K	56.2%	$2.35K
Bowed-Toque	Yes	3.27K	40.9%	$1.34K
Fuzzy-Yoga	Yes	3.23K	43.0%	$1.39K
BlindOrangutan	Yes	2.74K	44.0%	$1.21K
yoyoyyoyoy	Yes	2.62K	7.1%	$184.96	Feb 9, 3:32 AM UTC
roldy	Yes	2.18K	9.0%	$196.51	Feb 9, 3:19 AM UTC
Anguished-Haversack	Yes	2.14K	54.2%	$1.16K
FTXrisk	Yes	2.07K	6.0%	$123.97
jackbudd25	Yes	1.23K	44.0%	$540
BigWIZZO	Yes	1.14K	44.0%	$499.75
MoonMarket	Yes	893.44	44.5%	$398
anwarcharvel	Yes	886.14	44.0%	$389.9
brownieboy222	Yes	853.82	44.0%	$375.68
123457889	Yes	824.1	23.7%	$195.12
BelieveInYou	Yes	789.09	43.5%	$343.4
FrodoBaggins	Yes	751.9	14.6%	$109.93	Feb 9, 3:19 AM UTC
Yuli-betzz	Yes	750.28	39.0%	$292.61
Shimmering-Text	Yes	681.82	44.0%	$300
Acceptable-Ounce	Yes	681.82	44.0%	$300
Jameschristoph	Yes	681.82	44.0%	$300
BullishSkittle	Yes	600	43.0%	$258
LetsGoGolfing	Yes	568.18	44.0%	$250
spellcast	Yes	500	44.0%	$220
Paltry-Pregnancy	Yes	460	44.0%	$202.4
refundpls	Yes	454.55	44.0%	$200
polygod69	Yes	440	43.8%	$192.6
0xxfja	Yes	380	7.0%	$26.6
donky	Yes	340.91	44.0%	$150
Married-Mechanic	Yes	315.82	37.7%	$118.96
Colesprouse	Yes	300	44.0%	$132
dran	Yes	300	23.0%	$69
zoriontech	Yes	265	27.0%	$71.55
Remote-Testing	Yes	260.01	1.4%	$3.51
AidenBlvd.eth	Yes	260	13.5%	$35.1	Feb 9, 3:18 AM UTC
17th-floor	Yes	234	44.0%	$102.96
Trim-Trowel	Yes	233	1.4%	$3.15
gigaitzysol	Yes	230	49.4%	$113.62
Our-Chauvinist	Yes	227.27	44.0%	$100
Loco-loka	Yes	227.27	44.0%	$100
Anon.007	Yes	227.27	44.0%	$100
Monisi	Yes	226.39	8.8%	$20	Feb 9, 3:31 AM UTC
Trim-Doll	Yes	222.73	44.0%	$98
ns1	Yes	218.6	43.0%	$94
Tender-Crib	Yes	218.33	11.5%	$25
talentt	Yes	213.64	44.0%	$94
Profitable-Thread	Yes	209.92	28.6%	$60
Aznboi	Yes	205.16	48.7%	$100
Wee-Skull	Yes	200	44.0%	$88
4rchibald4rchy4rmstrong	Yes	200	44.5%	$89
leegunner	Yes	196.91	20.0%	$39.38
gelfgod	Yes	190	10.0%	$19	Feb 9, 3:20 AM UTC
Magnus.worldwide	Yes	181.82	44.0%	$80
Skatteboooo	Yes	180.21	33.3%	$60
andrepcaio	Yes	170.4	11.7%	$20
BrockPurdy	Yes	165.41	39.9%	$66.06
Scrawny-Gastronomy	Yes	163.33	18.4%	$30	Feb 9, 3:39 AM UTC
Bigge44	Yes	152.08	12.9%	$19.67
EasySnapCall	Yes	150	42.3%	$63.5
zekesito2	Yes	144.78	32.6%	$47.2
Possible-Speaking	Yes	144.17	16.0%	$23
ludik.ebanyi	Yes	141.98	38.5%	$54.71
chooseauser	Yes	140.83	46.0%	$64.78
Jnbren	Yes	140.77	44.0%	$61.94
camshotsr	Yes	140.02	57.1%	$80
everythingbagel	Yes	130.44	46.0%	$60
Witty-Mirror	Yes	127.5	39.2%	$50
Starch	Yes	120.03	1.4%	$1.62
Adlex	Yes	120	44.0%	$52.8
negrete	Yes	116.28	43.0%	$50
zhang0627	Yes	115.43	38.0%	$43.86
ggz03	Yes	113.64	44.0%	$50
Sreeder26	Yes	113.64	44.0%	$50
Thankful-Cement	Yes	113.64	44.0%	$50
ResidentDJ	Yes	111.11	9.0%	$10	Feb 9, 3:22 AM UTC
yoyogi	Yes	110.23	43.1%	$47.5
neillgunderson	Yes	108.24	55.1%	$59.67
C-Ride	Yes	102.27	44.0%	$45
Defiant-Fire	Yes	102.19	73.4%	$75
zeroconviction	Yes	100	71.0%	$71
TRUMPUS	Yes	100	43.0%	$43
MM-Gaming	Yes	100	44.0%	$44
therooroo	Yes	100	1.0%	$1	Feb 9, 3:42 AM UTC
Amy11	Yes	98.86	44.0%	$43.5
Tempting-Inventory	Yes	93.02	43.0%	$40
DelaneW	Yes	90.91	44.0%	$40
80sRBack	Yes	90.91	44.0%	$40
rmr88	Yes	90.91	44.0%	$40
AmericanIdiot999	Yes	90.91	44.0%	$40
Umbeliferous	Yes	90.91	44.0%	$40
caiojulio	Yes	88.49	17.0%	$15	Feb 9, 3:17 AM UTC
skweeze	Yes	80	7.0%	$5.6
caiobar	Yes	77.78	9.0%	$7	Feb 9, 3:37 AM UTC
Patrissa	Yes	76.61	44.0%	$33.71
Swift Comet 0A63	Yes	75.38	13.0%	$9.8
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	73.22	0.0%	$0
Omarz54	Yes	69.14	44.0%	$30.42
dipschitt	Yes	68.82	35.7%	$24.6
Willthomp	Yes	68.18	44.0%	$30
titoli	Yes	68.18	44.0%	$30
Whirlwind-Glimpse	Yes	66.06	30.3%	$20
meida	Yes	64.5	9.5%	$6.15	Feb 9, 3:27 AM UTC
zxcursed121	Yes	61.55	8.5%	$5.23	Feb 9, 3:37 AM UTC
Bxrja	Yes	61.22	49.0%	$30
kirkirk	Yes	60.56	44.0%	$26.65
duffyy	Yes	60	44.0%	$26.4
randomuser22200556	Yes	57.5	17.4%	$10
Distant-Screen	Yes	57.4	10.0%	$5.74	Feb 9, 3:16 AM UTC
Cheezus618630	Yes	56.82	44.0%	$25
Monstrous-Mom	Yes	55	9.1%	$5	Feb 9, 3:28 AM UTC
Shane.McBride49	Yes	52.27	44.0%	$23
viveredylan	Yes	50	48.0%	$24
bjprolo	Yes	50	1.0%	$0.5
moneybagsmannion	Yes	50	35.0%	$17.5
stanDAmanDATcan	Yes	50	26.8%	$13.4
tiancs	Yes	50	1.0%	$0.5
Admired-Deck	Yes	50	44.0%	$22
kavemanwithak	Yes	50	25.0%	$12.5
Joostiiiii	Yes	50	44.0%	$22
That-Horse	Yes	47.5	40.0%	$19	Feb 9, 3:19 AM UTC
Kom15z	Yes	46.67	10.7%	$5
Nutritious-Pronoun	Yes	46.15	13.0%	$6
Alarmed-Insight	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
DumbMoney0101	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
Dostum22	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
FENRIQUEZ	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
Gambling4Fun	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
Blank-Mention	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
Quixotic-Railway	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
ChunkiHunki	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
renatogallina	Yes	45.45	22.0%	$10
Kosher-Dude	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
f5gggd	Yes	45.45	44.0%	$20
futureASAP	Yes	45	52.0%	$23.4
MrPortugal	Yes	45	11.1%	$5	Feb 9, 3:26 AM UTC
Alejandro98.	Yes	44.44	45.0%	$20
theryguy80	Yes	44.44	45.0%	$20
PauloV11	Yes	44.29	29.4%	$13.02
furkantunc	Yes	43.6	45.9%	$20
Verifiable-Coaster	Yes	43.18	44.0%	$19
scubadive	Yes	43.16	44.0%	$18.99
Finkus	Yes	43.14	46.4%	$20
brovada	Yes	43.08	11.6%	$5	Feb 9, 3:36 AM UTC
lossleedr	Yes	42.29	47.3%	$20
RoxyClawder	Yes	42	44.0%	$18.48
iyurek	Yes	41.76	12.0%	$5	Feb 9, 3:16 AM UTC
augustus	Yes	41.19	11.1%	$4.58	Feb 9, 3:37 AM UTC
moondog2	Yes	40.57	43.0%	$17.45
Tedious-Churn	Yes	40.19	8.8%	$3.54
squirtlethewizard	Yes	38.25	49.5%	$18.95
Griz11	Yes	37.25	44.0%	$16.39
nggngss	Yes	35	44.0%	$15.4
geteee	Yes	35	44.0%	$15.4
Broncos555	Yes	34.09	44.0%	$15
davidonchain	Yes	34.09	44.0%	$15
lucariomirror	Yes	32.26	31.0%	$10
Colorful-Sphynx	Yes	31.25	32.0%	$10
beans22	Yes	30	44.0%	$13.2
Adhd	Yes	30	9.0%	$2.7
Joceln	Yes	29.55	44.0%	$13
Eager-Bootie	Yes	28.41	44.0%	$12.5
flamesbond	Yes	27.6	54.3%	$15
MurielG	Yes	27.27	44.0%	$12
tallestmex	Yes	25	21.0%	$5.25
1Mbul	Yes	25	44.0%	$11
Lustrous-Clapboard	Yes	25	44.0%	$11
midasaud	Yes	25	43.0%	$10.75
pasquali	Yes	23.26	43.0%	$10
Azure Tide EB19	Yes	23.2	43.0%	$9.98
vh5j	Yes	22.95	44.0%	$10.1
frinl	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
wgwgeee	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Mysterious-Count	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
wfggaweg	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
vdgeas	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Dishonest-Xylophone	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Cooperative-Attendance	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
hhhh3	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
averydek	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
ntnss	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
siims	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
cooker21	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
htqgg	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
feees	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
kj766j6	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Heavenly-Follower	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
yerbe	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
hnrng	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
bass	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
bfdw	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Buckeyefan913	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
gggge	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
THE-REAPER	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
bigalandg	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Handsome-Tune	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
trrrr	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Pale-Image	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
feeee	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Jumpy-Fulfillment	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
bnere	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
fsag	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
fendd	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
0xsolen	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
RiskyPinki	Yes	22.73	44.0%	$10
Willie4242	Yes	22.22	45.0%	$10
Rintonte	Yes	22.22	45.0%	$10
hoking8888	Yes	22.22	45.0%	$10
Dangerous-Aide	Yes	22.22	45.0%	$10
yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy	Yes	22.17	22.5%	$5
Cryprocrassus69	Yes	21.15	33.1%	$7
Coarse-Balloon	Yes	20.93	43.0%	$9
Bold Tide 3116	Yes	20.83	12.0%	$2.5	Feb 9, 3:38 AM UTC
ItsVengeance	Yes	20.45	44.0%	$9
Cultured-Impulse	Yes	20	44.0%	$8.8
glomshpst	Yes	20	50.0%	$10
Fragrant-Acknowledgment	Yes	20	10.0%	$2	Feb 9, 3:16 AM UTC
BetLock	Yes	20	20.0%	$4
maxwellhill2	Yes	20	10.0%	$2
Natural-Catacomb	Yes	20	44.0%	$8.8
Talkative-Subscription	Yes	18.18	44.0%	$8
gbro910	Yes	18.18	44.0%	$8
Riesu777	Yes	18.18	44.0%	$8
Bubbly-Lambkin	Yes	18.18	44.0%	$8
tomosih	Yes	18.18	44.0%	$8
doubledumbdumbjuice	Yes	17.05	44.0%	$7.5
Idle-Remote-Reciprocity	Yes	16.67	30.0%	$5
Leafy-Break	Yes	15.91	44.0%	$7
KingRhyze	Yes	15.38	26.0%	$4
OgDefier	Yes	15.15	33.0%	$5
rocketcrypto	Yes	15	1.0%	$0.15
fisherman11	Yes	14.34	44.0%	$6.31
Pure-Homeownership	Yes	12.51	43.0%	$5.38
Aggravating-Stalk	Yes	12.5	40.0%	$5
Micha.schachat	Yes	12	44.0%	$5.28
Helvetti	Yes	11.49	43.5%	$5
ogcakes	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
Legitimate-Season	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
Crushing-Spectrograph	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
Pushin.P	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
Blitzmn2	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
Ivory Oracle 888E	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
mannsdnvjfj	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
SCRAT89	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
Nostrodamnus	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
Lighthearted-Appeal	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
jleonel.pg	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
Basic-Cord	Yes	11.23	44.0%	$4.94
0xRysk	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1	Feb 9, 3:19 AM UTC
echoseven	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1	Feb 9, 3:19 AM UTC
Masculine-Aim	Yes	11.11	45.0%	$5
Pocketfoxes	Yes	11	9.1%	$1
Q.Q	Yes	10.93	44.0%	$4.81
Foolish-Feature	Yes	10.87	43.0%	$4.67
Dazzling-Heirloom	Yes	10.87	46.0%	$5
B3bri9d83	Yes	10.87	46.0%	$5
xqo	Yes	10.87	46.0%	$5
Indigo Meteor 33C6	Yes	10.87	46.0%	$5
Virtual-Earnings	Yes	10.64	47.0%	$5
Dirty-Loan	Yes	10.64	47.0%	$5
user123234345456567678789	Yes	10.64	47.0%	$5
Elderly-Bower	Yes	10.42	48.0%	$5
Niiiko	Yes	10.39	48.1%	$5
Allin123	Yes	10	50.0%	$5
15usd	Yes	9.5	44.0%	$4.18
connorbets	Yes	9.09	44.0%	$4
cepe	Yes	9.09	44.0%	$4
CMMWW	Yes	8.94	35.3%	$3.16
Agonizing-Sorghum	Yes	8.93	56.0%	$5
ncx	Yes	8.89	45.0%	$4
Thorough-Omission-Screening	Yes	8.82	44.0%	$3.88
mulberu331	No	8.77	57.0%	$5
H232323	Yes	8.68	44.0%	$3.82
hugesportswhale	Yes	8	45.0%	$3.6
Irritating-Wifi	Yes	7.68	39.1%	$3
chuck12366	Yes	6.82	44.0%	$3
Slim-Apartment	Yes	6.82	44.0%	$3
papertiger1	Yes	6.26	16.0%	$1	Feb 9, 3:15 AM UTC
Venerated-Till	Yes	6	45.0%	$2.7
pimpinaintEZ	Yes	5.4	37.0%	$2
aicsx	No	5	60.0%	$3
flyingfish11	Yes	5	44.0%	$2.2
Ashamed-Government	Yes	5	44.0%	$2.2
anonymous12340000	Yes	5	26.0%	$1.3	Feb 9, 3:47 AM UTC
aleshok	Yes	5	44.0%	$2.2
flvlins	Yes	5	44.0%	$2.2
Even-Soprano	Yes	5	44.0%	$2.2
wuha666	Yes	5	44.0%	$2.2
OGDJoker	Yes	4.73	44.0%	$2.08
Paulol	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
randomswe233	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
Nonstop-Hemp	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
0layinka	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
jopa-1	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
Querulous-Vignette	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
drtyrdy	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
Thoughtful-Latte	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
Descriptive-Airman	Yes	4.35	23.0%	$1
kee3t	Yes	4	25.0%	$1
jlsabau	Yes	3.64	44.0%	$1.6
False-Anatomy	Yes	3.62	45.0%	$1.63
TheCourier6	Yes	3.57	28.0%	$1
Harmless-Dark	Yes	3.45	29.0%	$1
Swift Raven 42D4	Yes	2.78	43.5%	$1.21
Roc6627	Yes	2.5	40.0%	$1
YungHyper	Yes	2.44	41.0%	$1
Steve4829	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
coinflip.er	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Unfolded-Yeast	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
ronpov	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
gyhjhj	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Klejvi	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Shoddy-Letter	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Unruly-Future	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Productive-Moon	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Obedient-Impression	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Unfinished-Den	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
RB-79K_BALL	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
3Xrail	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Morass-666	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Orange-Waiver	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
fngvnhm	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
WintersHowl935	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
vit157	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
ilivehere	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
jox86	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
seaty6	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
alexxtaranenko	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
DakodaB902	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
mimiPo	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Labonneformule	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Overdue-Century	Yes	2.22	45.0%	$1
BHENZZZZ	Yes	2.13	47.0%	$1
Acidic-Beck	Yes	2.08	48.0%	$1
Nelis.	Yes	2.08	48.0%	$1
alferos	Yes	2.04	49.0%	$1
User2432	Yes	1.75	44.0%	$0.77
Fantaa	Yes	1.43	70.0%	$1
That-Horse	No	1.06	94.0%	$1	Feb 9, 3:19 AM UTC
rated	Yes	0.83	2.6%	$0.02	Feb 9, 3:31 AM UTC
Awestin.eth	Yes	0.37	12.0%	$0.04

345 of 345 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$522.71K
mulberu331	$8.77
aicsx	$5

Analytics