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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 87.47 | $0.918 | $71.07 | -$9.23 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 12.17 |
| $0.822 |
| $10 |
| May 2, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 29.18 | $0.730 | $21.3 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 87.47 | $0.918 | $80.3 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ABNK FEARX | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 15.94 | $0.797 | $12.7 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 14.22 | $0.710 | $10.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 16.81 | $0.690 | $11.6 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.783 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No | buy | 38.5 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Yes | buy | 22.98 | $0.570 | $13.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 69.04 | $0.869 | $60 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 10.62 | $0.942 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.64 | $0.969 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 12.61 | $0.825 | $10.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 11.38 | $0.879 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsWeibo Gaming | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.894 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.944 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 18?Yes | buy | 5.01K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 17?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 17, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 21.81 | $0.955 | $20.83 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 16?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 14?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 14, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?Yes | buy | 40.71 | $0.280 | $11.4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsDRX | buy | 33.81 | $0.420 | $14.2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?No | buy | 11 | $0.909 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceTeam WE | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Feb 4, 2026 |