Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 19 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 29.9% on 25 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 29.9% on 25 Nov 2023. $25.01K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 19 Nov 2023 – 1 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2023 | 7.5% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Quasar A04F | Yes | 666.67K |
| WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | Yes | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman initiates a lawsuit against OpenAI by 11:59 PM ET, December 31, 2023. This market will resolve to "No" if no such lawsuit is initiated by the specified time and date. The resolution source will be statements from Sam Altman, OpenAI, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sam-altman-sue-openai
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