Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 25, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$126.2K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 25, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 14% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 25 Dec 2025, the highest close was 22.6% on 3 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 6% on 4 Dec 2025. $126.17K traded over the market's life.

64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:02 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 25 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Dec 2025	14.0%
25 Dec 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	37.11K
rocknoobgoob	Yes	1.39K
Emerald Pulse BE8C	Yes	1.33K

10 of 64 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Honduran Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).