Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 18 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2023 to 1 Sep 2023, the highest close was 34.5% on 24 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.7% on 31 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 34.5% on 24 Jul 2023. $5.74K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 9:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 18 Jul 2023 – 1 Sep 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2023 | 16.5% |
| 1 Sep 2023 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leoleoleoleo | No | 117.33 |
| Suburban-Slot | Yes | 38.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing Screen Actors Guild – American Federation of Television and Radio Artists (SAG - AFTRA) strike ends by August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SAG-AFTRA (e.g. https://www.sagaftra.org/news-events), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sag-end-strike-by-aug-31
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