Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 41% on 31 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 42% on 9 Apr 2026 and the low 1.1% on 18 Apr 2026. $841.55 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 19, 5:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 31 Mar 2026 – 18 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Sabrina Carpenter often "arrests" celebrities during her performances of her song, "Juno". Sabrina Carpenter is scheduled to perform at the Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival on April 10 and April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sabrina Carpenter "arrests" the listed celebrity during or immediately preceding any performance of "Juno" during the Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival on April 10 and April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest may involve, but is not limited to, announcing the listed celebrity is under arrest or placing the listed celebrity in handcuffs. This market will resolve based on video of the event or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-sabrina-carpenter-arrest-at-coachella
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
