Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 95% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 2 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 93.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.7 points up, to 100% on 2 Jan 2026. $3.08K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 2 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 95.0% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 323 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 170 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 152 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Ryan Seacrest is scheduled to host ABC's Dick Clarke's New Years Rockin' Eve with Ryan Seacrest on December 31, 2025 at 9PM ET (https://www.newyearsrockineve.com/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ryan Seacrest says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Ryan Seacrest's scheduled appearance on December 31, 2025 and January 1, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled by Ryan Seacrest or ABC, or otherwise is not aired by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-ryan-seacrest-say-at-new-years-rockin-eve
| Natasha22 | No | 120 |
| marina14 | No | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 86 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 56 |
| koutuoxia | No | 54.89 |
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