Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 The American Express tournament?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 26, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 26, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 26 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 26 Jan 2026, the highest close was 39.1% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 39.1% on 24 Jan 2026. $2.38K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 12:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 26 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Jan 2026	33.5%
26 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	25.48K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	3.32K
Ivory Beacon 8808	Yes	269.12
ttj01	Yes	250

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 The American Express tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the 2026 The American Express tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 The American Express tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).