Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 19 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 19 Jun 2025 to 24 Jun 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 19 Jun 2025 and the lowest 28.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 31.5% on 20 Jun 2025. $21.98 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 19 Jun 2025 – 24 Jun 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jun 2025 | 51.5% |
| 24 Jun 2025 | 28.5% |
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NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte is scheduled to deliver remarks at the NATO Public Forum on June 24 at 4 AM ET. (see livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9SNTY11sf24, https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events_236298.htm) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Rutte says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the main speech that Mark Rutte gives in the scheduled event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If Mark Rutte does not give a speech at this event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-mark-rutte-say-during-nato-public-forum-address-on-june-24
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