Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 60% on 20 Mar 2026 and the low 26.5% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 27% on 28 Mar 2026. $642 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 9:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 31 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tanpingxie | Yes | 120.64 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 100 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ERUT/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-rut-hit-in-march-2026
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