Analytics
Resolved No on 20 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 18 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2025 to 20 May 2025, the highest close was 1.3% on 18 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 May 2025. $1.81M traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 18 Mar 2025 – 20 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2025 | 1.3% |
| 20 May 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 66.05K |
| fatgatsby | Yes | 1.11K |
| bias | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature. This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election. Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-portugal-after-the-2025-election
| Yes |
| 111 |
| kwHSZUwCRL | Yes | 4.35 |
| BcOQhoYUcf | Yes | 0.62 |
| Fawn517 | Yes | 0.05 |
| OUtimPVUfV | Yes | 0.01 |
| earlnelson2704 | Yes | 0.01 |
| URPbvdkaKL | Yes | 0.01 |
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