Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.4%. Yes opened at 41% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 15 Feb 2026 and the low 0.5% on 2 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 0.5% on 2 Jun 2026. $724.88 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 11, 4:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 10 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 41.0% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | 16.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| niglette | Yes | 39.52 |
| Rapid Kestrel A206 | Yes | 20 |
| MysticAJ | Yes | 12.94 |
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-22-primary-winners
| Yes |
| 10 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| yifumule | Yes | 8 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 4.99 |
| Snappy-Daylight | No | 0.03 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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