Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.9% on 29 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 29 Jan 2025 to 10 Mar 2025, the highest close was 48.9% on 29 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.2% on 30 Jan 2025. $409.45K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 2:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 29 Jan 2025 – 10 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2025 | 48.9% |
| 10 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 169.56K |
| perryTD | Yes | 1K |
| pumptt | Yes | 698.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Ruby Dhalla. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-canadian-liberal-party
| Yes |
| 588 |
| ewwer22 | Yes | 500 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 65.96 |
| happenning | No | 1.22 |
| Drityu | No | 0.15 |
| Rnunud | No | 0.15 |
| Spon | Yes | 0.08 |
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