Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 16 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 16 May 2023 to 24 May 2023, the highest close was 98% on 24 May 2023 and the lowest 67.5% on 16 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 97% on 19 May 2023. $27.86K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 28, 10:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 16 May 2023 – 24 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2023 | 67.5% |
| 24 May 2023 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| septianpw | No | 463.17 |
| Emerald Raven 3EE7 | No | 0.3 |
| Authentic-Consignment | Yes | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, Ronald Dion DeSantis or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: -Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) -Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC -Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election -Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any informal declarations by Ron DeSantis and/or his representatives regarding DeSantis's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website (https://www.fec.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ron-desantis-file-to-run-for-president-by-may-31-2023
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