Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jan 2023. Before it settled, across the 118 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2023 to 24 May 2023 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.5% on 24 May 2023 and the lowest 27% on 17 Jan 2023. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 27% on 17 Jan 2023. $63.21K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 28, 10:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 14 Jan 2023 – 24 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2023 | 50.0% |
| 24 May 2023 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Pioneer B486 | No | 749.1K |
| junkof | No | 7.04K |
| 21kjsij2kl23 | No | 501.69 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, Ronald Dion DeSantis or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: -Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) -Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC -Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election -Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any informal declarations by Ron DeSantis and/or his representatives regarding DeSantis's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website (https://www.fec.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution source: https://www.fec.gov/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ron-desantis-file-to-run-for-president-by-june-30-2023
| No |
| 171.13 |
| Partial-Finding | Yes | 4.31 |
| Elaborate-Lawsuit | No | 1.4 |
| Bite-Sized-Doctorate | Yes | 1.2 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | No | 0.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
