Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20% on 4 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2025 to 19 Dec 2025, the highest close was 20% on 4 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 3% on 5 Aug 2025. $3.47M traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 4 Aug 2025 – 19 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2025 | 20.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 309.01K |
| Anointed-Connect | Yes | 32.25K |
| CrewKings | Yes | 15.85K |
The 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship will premiere on Peacock this fall (https://www.pokernews.com/news/2025/07/national-heads-up-poker-championship-return-49301.htm). This market predicts which player will win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player wins the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 pm ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final players agree to a prize‑money chop, this market will resolve based on the player who is awarded the official tournament trophy. The primary resolution source for this market will be Peacock, along with streaming coverage on PokerGO and PokerStars. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2025-national-heads-up-poker-championship-winner-845
| Victiny67 | Yes | 10.92K |
| SPNKBBL | Yes | 9.58K |
| Pipiu | Yes | 5K |
| ZZYYY | Yes | 5K |
| RGALTT | Yes | 4.47K |
| outout1 | Yes | 4.44K |
| coren1 | Yes | 3.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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