Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 20% on 9 Jan 2026. $17.12K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 3:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 44.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.88K |
| rjm139 | Yes | 2.5K |
| cyniclee | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026. The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-new-democratic-party-leadership-election-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 364 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| briback22 | Yes | 190.58 |
| tailhunter | Yes | 162 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 141.73 |
| Indigo Raven BA64 | Yes | 100 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 85.79 |
