Analytics
Yes is at 28.6%, down 59 points from 88% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 88% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 32.6% on 19 Oct 2026. The current quote, 28.6%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 53.8% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 46.3% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?”.
$2.73K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.79K, with a 34.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 57 trades, $856.42 bought Yes and $336.34 bought No.
The largest Yes position is PippiTrader with 500 shares; the largest No position is grasstoucher69 with 600.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 88.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 53.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grasstoucher69 | No | 599.58 |
| PippiTrader | Yes | 499.72 |
| richyee | Yes | 77 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-rklb-hit-in-october-2026
7 more markets, none above 1.6%.
| tradetosurvive1 |
| No |
| 42.13 |
| Royal Comet 6702 | Yes | 40 |
| averageuser | Yes | 22.13 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| minnow99324 | Yes | 20 |
| Coral Pioneer CE1B | No | 15.22 |
| UniLB | No | 14.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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