Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.3%. Yes opened at 49% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 49% on 2 Oct 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 10 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 7.5% on 3 Oct 2025. $58.57K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 49.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 15.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.54K |
| Judkins | Yes | 5.77K |
| Ondra | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 49. If Survivor season 49 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 49 has otherwise not concluded by February 28, 2026 ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 49.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/survivor-49-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.41K |
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| Separate-Prose | Yes | 934.84 |
| tindache | Yes | 829.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 765 |
| Yearly-Remote | Yes | 481.93 |
| JakeBeez | Yes | 300 |
