Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 2 Jul 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 35% on 17 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 63.5% on 4 Jun 2026. $19.3 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 12:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 48.0% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Delayed-Trust | Yes | 5.05 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player formally ceases membership with LIV Golf, and ceases participation in LIV Golf events by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed player makes an official announcement regarding their intention to join another tour before the aforementioned date, the corresponding market will resolve to “Yes”, regardless of when that change takes effect. If LIV Golf ceases operations entirely within the declared timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Yes”. If LIV Golf announces a merger or acquisition with another competition, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”, even if the player’s tour membership transfers to a successor entity. The resolution source for this market will be official information from LIV, the acquiring competition, and/or the listed player; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/players-to-leave-liv-golf-by-june-30-2026-867
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