Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 7 Sep 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 4 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 6.1% on 12 Jul 2026. $3.81K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 7 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 38.5% |
| 7 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.85K |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 600 |
| Hjklm | Yes | 511.89 |
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/emmys-2026-outstanding-supporting-actor-in-a-limited-or-anthology-series-or-movie-20260710152129711
| Yes |
| 500 |
| Romeo005 | Yes | 299.99 |
| balthazar | Yes | 284.03 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| Cosmic Pulse 7937 | Yes | 60 |
| Menacing-Revitalization-Anorak | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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