Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.5%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 19 Jun 2026, the highest close was 87% on 16 Jun 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 19 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 78 points down, to 6.5% on 19 Jun 2026. $11.23K traded over the market's life.

26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 1:00 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 19 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Jun 2026	42.5%
19 Jun 2026	6.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
ydxistheking	Yes	1.83K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.39K
TrueDignity	Yes	853.43

10 of 26 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).