Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.3%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 28 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2025 to 9 Sep 2025, the highest close was 17% on 3 Sep 2025 and the lowest 1.7% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 17% on 3 Sep 2025. $17.57K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 28 Aug 2025 – 9 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | 5.5% |
| 9 Sep 2025 | 8.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.21K |
| MandelaTheFroGG | Yes | 513.19 |
| lindraks | Yes | 298.41 |
| JoE | Yes | 151.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding François Bayrou. Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. If the confidence vote scheduled for September 8 passes, or if no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”. If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-prime-minister-743
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