Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 8 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 187 daily closes on record from 8 May 2024 to 10 Nov 2024, the highest close was 10.5% on 8 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Nov 2024. $378.87K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 10, 10:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 187 points, 8 May 2024 – 10 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 May 2024 | 6.5% |
| 10 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bigdog666 | Yes | 10.1K |
| ClassAct | Yes | 4K |
| PolyMucket | Yes | 2.85K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-rfk-jr-win-a-state
| Skingum | Yes | 1.98K |
| irishspringguy | Yes | 1.28K |
| remilio7 | Yes | 1K |
| web3funny | Yes | 714.29 |
| afsafasdasdf | Yes | 620 |
| slayvilleusa | Yes | 588.53 |
| Arodd | Yes | 437.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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