Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Aug 24, 2024
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
100.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
7
Wallets
7
Top 10 share
100%
Yes / No shares
8.49 / 22.02K
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
500
Wallets
249
Loaded notional
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 23, 12:00 AM
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Aug 23, 12:00 AM
91.0%
91.0%
Aug 22, 12:00 AM
92.0%
92.0%
Aug 21, 12:00 AM
30.5%
30.5%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will RFK Jr. drop out before September? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 31, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Kennedy from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Kennedy does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RFK Jr. or his…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($385.26K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$134.6K
No buy at 0.1%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 23, 12:00 AM
Points
32
Move
+75 pts
Range
7.5% - 92.0%
Jul 23, 12:00 AM to Aug 23, 12:00 AM
Aug 20, 12:00 AM
7.5%
7.5%
Aug 19, 12:00 AM
7.5%
7.5%
Aug 18, 12:00 AM
11.5%
11.5%
Aug 17, 12:00 AM
13.0%
13.0%
Aug 16, 12:00 AM
23.5%
23.5%
Aug 15, 12:00 AM
11.5%
11.5%
Aug 14, 12:00 AM
9.5%
9.5%
Aug 13, 12:00 AM
11.5%
11.5%
Aug 12, 12:00 AM
13.5%
13.5%
Aug 11, 12:00 AM
13.5%
13.5%
Aug 10, 12:00 AM
15.0%
15.0%
Aug 9, 12:00 AM
22.5%
22.5%
Aug 8, 12:00 AM
18.5%
18.5%
Aug 7, 12:00 AM
20.5%
20.5%
Aug 6, 12:00 AM
19.5%
19.5%
Aug 5, 12:00 AM
19.0%
19.0%
Aug 4, 12:00 AM
18.5%
18.5%
Aug 3, 12:00 AM
18.5%
18.5%
Aug 2, 12:00 AM
20.0%
20.0%
Aug 1, 12:00 AM
20.5%
20.5%
Jul 31, 12:00 AM
23.0%
23.0%
Jul 30, 12:00 AM
24.5%
24.5%
Jul 29, 12:00 AM
25.5%
25.5%
Jul 28, 12:00 AM
25.5%
25.5%
Jul 27, 12:00 AM
26.5%
26.5%
Jul 26, 12:00 AM
17.5%
17.5%
Jul 25, 12:00 AM
17.0%
17.0%
Jul 24, 12:00 AM
15.5%
15.5%
Jul 23, 12:00 AM
16.0%
16.0%
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 7 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 24, 11:10 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-rfk-jr-drop-out-before-september) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
