Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 51.7%. Yes opened at 30% on 7 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2024 to 27 May 2024, the highest close was 52% on 25 Mar 2024 and the lowest 1.5% on 19 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 51.7% on 27 May 2024. $41.66K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 28, 12:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 7 Mar 2024 – 27 May 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2024 | 30.0% |
| 27 May 2024 | 51.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces he's running to be on the Libertarian Party ticket (as POTUS or VP) before the 2024 Libertarian National Convention decides the ticket. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be announcements from RFK Jr. and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-rfk-jr-announce-libertarian-party-bid
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