Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 8% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 19% on 25 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 19% on 25 Mar 2025. $16.3K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 8.0% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Boydosan | Yes | 206.36 |
| highplains | No | 12.35 |
| honeylemon7 | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any federal legislation is signed or executive action is performed by the president, or any rulemaking act is performed by a federal executive agency with the intended effect of banning pharmaceutical ads in any medium in the United States by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill signed into law, executive action taken, or rulemaking action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-rfk-ban-pharma-ads-before-may
| No |
| 0.01 |
| Poly24 | No | 0.01 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 0.01 |
| SuARas | No | 0.01 |
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