Analytics
Yes is at 38%, up 1.5 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 41%.
It is one of 8 markets under “Senate Combo: Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska”.
$365.64 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.18K since listing. The order book holds $22.56K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 143 trades, $486.48 bought Yes and $1.33K bought No.
The largest Yes position is CircuitBoardA with 240 shares; the largest No position is Antony82 with 500. Ten wallets hold 91.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 38.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Antony82 | No | 500 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 297.63 |
| CircuitBoardA | Yes | 239.99 |
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. Because no Democratic candidate is on the ballot in Nebraska, the Nebraska race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Nebraska Senate election. For purposes of this market, Dan Osborn will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Iowa or Kansas election, or a third-party candidate wins the Nebraska election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/senate-three-way-combo-iowa-kansas-nebraska
| bananabreakfast |
| Yes |
| 218.29 |
| Heskel2 | Yes | 91 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 81 |
| cosmicsteaks | Yes | 65.56 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 52.86 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 51.58 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 48.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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