Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 11 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2024 to 4 Dec 2024, the highest close was 10.4% on 14 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.3 points up, to 10.4% on 14 Nov 2024. $674.51K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 10:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 11 Nov 2024 – 4 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2024 | 3.5% |
| 4 Dec 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 261.19K |
| TotallyNotCasual | Yes | 5K |
| test456743 | Yes | 2.41K |
| PhiliStonks | Yes | 1.16K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. House elections exactly 219 voting House members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press. This market will resolve once the Associated Press has conclusively called all House elections.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-gop-seats-in-house-of-representatives
| Solar Scout 626F | Yes | 594.37 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 487.74 |
| 38649635513hjertrete | Yes | 200 |
| LibTearsAreSalty | Yes | 130.56 |
| harz | Yes | 30 |
| NLo | Yes | 22.73 |
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