
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 9 Sep 2023. Before it settled, the high was 74.5% on 10 Jan 2024 and the low 0.1% on 16 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 74.5% on 10 Jan 2024. $293.88K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 312 points, 9 Sep 2023 – 16 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2023 | 40.5% |
| 16 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lalaf | Yes | 2.97K |
| Tin_st | Yes | 278.73 |
| rousseauuu | Yes | 249.94 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-republican-vp-nominee-be-a-woman
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Shantaram | Yes | 87.72 |
| BettingonDemocracy | Yes | 31.91 |
| Vedde25 | No | 28.56 |
| Alexander930 | Yes | 26.32 |
| testorrrr-testing-mc-testfacey | Yes | 12 |
| baba69 | No | 11.63 |
| cb28 | No | 8.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard