Analytics
Trading ended on 3 May 2026 with Yes at 15%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
$3.33 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Pavloonka with 3 shares; the largest No position is leegunner with 3.
Polymarket record as of Apr 23, 8:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 22 Apr 2026 – 23 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 15.0% |
| 23 Apr 2026 | 15.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leegunner | No | 3.33 |
| Pavloonka | Yes | 3.26 |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | Yes | 0.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the listed horse who wins the 2026 Kentucky Derby, scheduled for May 2, 2026. If a listed horse withdraws, is disqualified by May 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or does not participate in the 2026 Kentucky Derby, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the race organizer. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the horse that accumulated more points in the Road to the Kentucky Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the horse whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Kentucky Derby is cancelled, postponed, or no winner is announced by May 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Kentucky Derby website (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-kentucky-derby-winner
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