Analytics
Yes is at 49.3%, about where the market opened on 25 Aug 2026.
Across the 63 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 48.1%; a month before, 4.1%. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 49.5% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “Austrian Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)”.
$31 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.33, with a 98.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 21 shares; the largest No position is Offensive-Land with 26.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 49.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive-Land | No | 26 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Austrian Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Austrian Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Austrian Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Austrian Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/austrian-bundesliga-teams-relegated-2026-27
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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