Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jan 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 15% on 16 Dec 2022. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2022 to 2 Jan 2023, the highest close was 15% on 16 Dec 2022 and the lowest 1% on 2 Jan 2023. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 3% on 28 Dec 2022. $362.11K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 29, 11:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 96 points, 16 Dec 2022 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2022 | 15.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Kestrel 60C7 | Yes | 943.13K |
| Overdue-Mail | Yes | 6.34K |
| Scholarly-Pence | Yes | 4.68K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In Response to Trader Inquiry: Retweets do not count for this market's resolution. Twitter permanently banned former president of the USA, Donald Trump, from the platform in January 2021 during the final days of his term. His handle @realDonaldTrump had over 88.9 million followers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account (@realDonaldTrump) tweets at least once after May 10, 2022, and by December 31, 2022, (11:59:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump. Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-realdonaldtrump-tweet-in-2022
| Yes |
| 3.19K |
| Forceful-Rambler | Yes | 1.92K |
| Colorful-Builder | Yes | 1.32K |
| mooner | Yes | 1.28K |
| Brave-Chair | Yes | 1.24K |
| Victorious-Legume | Yes | 1K |
| Potable-Turning | Yes | 730.86 |
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