Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 1 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2023 to 1 Jul 2023, the highest close was 25% on 1 Jun 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Jun 2023. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 10% on 2 Jun 2023. $160.62K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 10:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 1 Jun 2023 – 1 Jul 2023, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2023 | 25.0% |
| 1 Jul 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Utilized-Litigation | Yes | 11.34K |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 2.32K |
| TradeUp | Yes | 2.2K |
| Fortunate-Coincidence | Yes | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In Response to Trader Inquiry: All quote tweets and reply tweets by @realDonaldTrump will count. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account (@realDonaldTrump) tweets at least once after May 30, 2023, and by June 30, 2023, (11:59:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump. For the purpose of this market's resolution, retweets do not count as a tweet. Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-realdonaldtrump-tweet-by-june-30
| LunchBrunchKot | Yes | 238 |
| Plain-Pilot | Yes | 200 |
| Hollow-Anguish | Yes | 200 |
| FluffyPig | Yes | 155.5 |
| Downright-Revenue | Yes | 100 |
| Rowdy-Raft | Yes | 69 |
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