Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jun 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 54 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2023 to 2 Jun 2023 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 5 Apr 2023 and the lowest 1.5% on 23 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 23% on 1 May 2023. $975.99 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 6:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 5 Apr 2023 – 2 Jun 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2023 | 50.0% |
| 2 Jun 2023 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mo263 | Yes | 55.56 |
| Austere-Friendship | Yes | 5.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account (@realDonaldTrump) tweets at least once after April 3, 2023, and by June 1, 2023, (11:59:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump. For the purpose of this market's resolution, retweets do not count as a tweet. Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-realdonaldtrump-tweet-by-june-1
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