Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 10% on 11 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2023 to 1 Aug 2023, the highest close was 10.5% on 14 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Aug 2023. $41.08K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 9:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 11 Jul 2023 – 1 Aug 2023, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2023 | 10.0% |
| 1 Aug 2023 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| furi | Yes | 1K |
| Personal-Commuter | Yes | 16.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump tweets at least once between July 9 and July 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but retweets will not count. The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump. Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-realdonaldtrump-tweet-by-july-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
