Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 16% on 16 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2023 to 2 Apr 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23% on 18 Mar 2023 and the lowest 2% on 29 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 23% on 18 Mar 2023. $29.62K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 3, 7:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 16 Feb 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2023 | 16.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Raven 701B | Yes | 750.3K |
| Previous-Bracelet | Yes | 227.27 |
| Frayed-Breakthrough | Yes | 105 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account (@realDonaldTrump) tweets at least once after February 14, 2023, and by April 1, 2023, (11:59:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump. For the purpose of this market's resolution, retweets do not count as a tweet. Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-realdonaldtrump-tweet-by-april-1
| Yes |
| 100.73 |
| Impassioned-Thrill | Yes | 6.5 |
| metamasj1 | Yes | 3.57 |
| Amber Harbor 2A24 | Yes | 1 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 0.31 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
