Analytics
Yes is at 28.5%, down 22 points from 50% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 44 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 2 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19%; a month before, 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24.5% on 12 Sep 2026.
Real Madrid ranks second of the 36 outcomes in “UEFA Champions League: League Phase Winner”. Paris Saint-Germain leads at 31.6%; Arsenal is at 16.8%.
$47.61 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.76K since listing. The order book holds $15.9K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 144 trades, $302.31 bought Yes and $1.78K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Bulky-Helo-Athlete with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 99.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Feb 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.69K |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 1.3K |
| leegunner | Yes | 481 |
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-league-phase-winner
24 more outcomes, none above 0.2%.
| jacobmeter |
| No |
| 451 |
| cmss | Yes | 336.57 |
| VGR22 | No | 289.19 |
| Reformedx | Yes | 229 |
| earedbat | Yes | 73.14 |
| thefakenick | Yes | 60.56 |
| meitalg | No | 28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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