Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 21% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 207 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 24 Aug 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 3% on 12 Mar 2026. $2.51K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 11:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 207 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 24 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 21.0% |
| 24 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.35K |
| Rapid Falcon 1279 | Yes | 637 |
| balthazar | Yes | 289.77 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 282.99 |
| merod | Yes | 224 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 176.43 |
| t3u | Yes | 110.43 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 100 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 90 |
| korda77 | Yes | 77.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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