Analytics
Yes is at 28.4%, down 3.6 points from 32% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 120 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5.1% on 17 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.7%; a month before, 20.6%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 43.8% on 6 Jul 2026.
Raquel Carter ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “2026 Lexington Mayoral Election Winner”. Linda Gorton leads at 71.5%.
$3.97K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.09K since listing. The order book holds $42.97K, with a 3.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 188 trades, $1.33K bought Yes and $1.98K bought No.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 2.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 94.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 32.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 2.85K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.42K |
| 74-75 | No | 2K |
The 2026 Lexington mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Lexington, KY. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lexington as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Kentucky and the Lexington-Fayette Urban County Government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-lexington-mayoral-election-winner-20260626001615088
| FrozenParasite |
| Yes |
| 1.49K |
| musicenthusiast | Yes | 872.6 |
| Haradwaith | No | 220.1 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 207.5 |
| macrosteaks | No | 204.99 |
| Indigo Atlas 9912 | No | 190.4 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 175 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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